Alfonso Soriano is still playing "and is 37." He would have to play like Barry Bonds did at this age to have a "decent" chance at the HOF, and we all know that's not going to happen.
...Legally.
There are plenty of players with seven or more All Star games who are not in the Hall of Fame, there are plenty of players with more Silver Slugger Awards who are not in the Hall of Fame, writers don't really care about World Series championships unless said player actually had a significant role in "getting them," [Alfonso Soriano didn't even make postseason appearances those two years!], being All Star Game MVP has never changed anybody's mind on whether someone is Hall-worthy or not, and Kenny Lofton led the league in stolen bases five times and couldn't get enough votes to make a second HOF ballot appearance.
(Although if he'd put up these numbers while staying at second, his chances would be much better.)
If he pays the admission fee like one of us, he'll certainley make it into the Hall of Fame.
Those are good numbers for a second baseman, but he only played there five full seasons, and he was an awful fielder.
His OBP - .321 - is horrible. He finished in the top five for MVP voting once in his career. During his prime years, he wasn't even one of the top five players in his league (which was only half of baseball) more than once, why should he be considered one of the best of all-time?
He's not playing at a high level either. He's 37 years old...the past five seasons he's hit .252 and averaged 60 runs, 24 homeruns, and 77 RBI a year. In another year or two he probably won't even be a starter.
He'll never break 20% on the ballot, MAXIMUM. If you want him in, better make room for Ray Durham, Jeff Kent, Moises Alou, Luis Gonzalez, Brian Giles, Nomar, Mike Cameron, JD Drew, Carlos Delgado, Jorge Posada, Jason Kendall, Troy Glaus, Magglio Ordonez, Darin Erstad, Derrek Lee, and Edgar Renteria.
No chance - he won't be seen as any better than Juan Gonzalez or Luis Gonzalez, let alone Vladimir Guerrero or Carlos Beltran.
Honestly, he's gotten a lot of big numbers without ever being really that valuable. He hits home runs and steals bases, but he still didn't get on base well (his career high OBP is an unremarkable .351) and was never a good fielder.
I don't see it happening mostly because he hasn't aged well. He hasn't a good season in recent memory and that would have a huge impression on the voters. They're gonna think back to what they remember and that is an overpaid outfielder that isn't an everyday starter on a contender.
All Star Game MVP? BFD.
You didn't mention his .321 career OBP and his 3.5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He's hit .300 just once in his career, doesn't produce prolific home runs totals despite a high strikeout rate, and he's a liability in the field.
Even if he sticks around long enough to reach 500 homers, I don't see Soriano getting in.
No chance. He's simply a slightly above average player, but he didn't produce hall of fame numbers. Not even close.
He is not playing at that high level needed for the hall.
Nope.
No chance
I doubt it